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2009/05/20

Estimating consecutive bullish bars

 
 
 

Autochartist PowerStats give traders access to statistical information on the occurrence of consecutive bullish bars. This can be used to help estimate likely bullish movement for selected currency pairs.  Historical data for various currency pairs is shown in the bar chart (1) above.  Chart (1) shows that the JPY coupled currency pairs have the highest occurrence of having 4 consecutive bullish bars in a row and that EURAUD and EURCHF have the lowest.  This is demonstrated in the complete EURJPY continuation triangle chart pattern (2) taken from the 15M chart. Bullish bars are indicated in green. From left to right, consecutive bars in sequence total as follows: 2, 5, 3, 6, 2, 5. Overall, the sequences average 4 consecutive bars in a row. Traders wishing to take advantage of this information could have used it to estimate that the price after 07:45 for example would continue to be bullish in line with the PowerStats  data indicated on (1).

 

 

To access PowerStats for this and other data, click here, use your Autochartist username and password to log in.

 

 
 
 


 

Disclaimer: Autochartist, MDIO Software, agents and resellers of Autochartist services do not guarantee the completeness, accuracy or timeliness of the information supplied. Users of this service should take independent decisions regarding any securities or financial instruments mentioned herein. Trading involves considerable risk: therefore, before trading you need carefully reflect on your risk appetite, investment objectives and level of experience. Do not invest money you cannot afford to lose. Past performance of strategies is not indicative of future performance.

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2009/05/13

USDCAD short term movement

 
 
 

These two USDCAD patterns present different time frames, but reflect the same probable outcome for the short term. Pattern 1 is an emerging continuation channel taken from the 240 minute time frame. It shows a spectacularly strong downtrending support line (A). Even though the probable direction of completion indicated on the pattern is upwards, the last few candles on the channel show the price returning yet again in the direction of the support line (A). Pattern 2 is a completed continuation triangle from the 15 minute time frame that broke through its resistance line (B).  The last candle at the end of the completed triangle (2) is below the resistance line (B), suggesting the same downwards movement as at the end of channel (1) and the probable continuation of its downwards trend in the short term.

 
 
 


 

Disclaimer: Autochartist, MDIO Software, agents and resellers of Autochartist services do not guarantee the completeness, accuracy or timeliness of the information supplied. Users of this service should take independent decisions regarding any securities or financial instruments mentioned herein. Trading involves considerable risk: therefore, before trading you need carefully reflect on your risk appetite, investment objectives and level of experience. Do not invest money you cannot afford to lose. Past performance of strategies is not indicative of future performance.

 

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2009/05/11

Date: 2009/05/11
Time: 14:08 (GMT +2)
Ticker: EUR
Last: 1.3575
Pivot: 1.275
1st sup. 1.275
2nd sup. 1.24
3rd sup. 1.2
1st res. 1.374
2nd res. 1.413
3rd res. 1.45
Title: EUR/USD ST: continuation of the rebound
Summary: As long as 1.275 is not broken down, we favour an upmove with 1.374 and then 1.413 as next targets.
Story: Our pivot point stands at 1.275.

Our preference: As long as 1.275 is not broken down, we favour an upmove with 1.374 and then 1.413 as next targets.

Alternative scenario: Only the downside breakout of 1.275 will invalidate our bullish scenario. In this case, a decline should shape towards 1.24 at first, and then 1.2.

Comment: Daily indicators are rebounding.

Trend: ST limited rise; MT range.

Supports and resistances:
1.45 **
1.413 **
1.374 **
1.3575 last
1.275 **
1.24 **
1.2 **
 

 

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2009/05/07

Date: 2009/05/07
Time: 16:38 (GMT +2)
Ticker: EUR
Last: 1.3402
Pivot: 1.3325
1st sup. 1.3325
2nd sup. 1.327
3rd sup. 1.3225
1st res. 1.3438
2nd res. 1.35
3rd res. 1.3575
Title: EUR/USD intraday: rebound.
Summary: Update on supports and resistances.
Story: Pivot: 1.3325

Our preference: Long positions above 1.3325 with targets @ 1.3438 & 1.35 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 1.3325 look for further downside with 1.327 & 1.3225 as targets.

Comments: the pair remains within a MT bullish channel, the RSI is on the upside.
 

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2009/05/06

Date: 2009/05/06
Time: 16:49 (GMT +2)
Ticker: EUR
Last: 1.3287
Pivot: 1.325
1st sup. 1.325
2nd sup. 1.3192
3rd sup. 1.315
1st res. 1.3325
2nd res. 1.3385
3rd res. 1.3438
Title: EUR/USD intraday: rebound.
Summary: Update on supports and resistances.
Story: Pivot: 1.325

Our preference: Long positions above 1.325 with targets @ 1.3325 & 1.3385 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 1.325 look for further downside with 1.3192 & 1.315 as targets.

Comments: the pair should pull back on its support ahead of a new up move as the RSI is turning up.
 

 

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2009/05/06

Date: 2009/05/06
Time: 15:22 (GMT +2)
Ticker: EUR
Last: 1.3354
Pivot: 1.275
1st sup. 1.275
2nd sup. 1.24
3rd sup. 1.195
1st res. 1.374
2nd res. 1.435
3rd res. 1.475
Title: EUR/USD MT: rebound.
Summary: Update on supports and resistances.
Story: Pivot: 1.2750

Our preference: LONG above 1.2750 towards 1.3740 & 1.4350.

Alternative scenario: A downside breakout of 1.2750 would open the way towards 1.24.

Comment: The RSI is well directed, the pair has broken above its flag upper boundary and should post a further up move.

Trend: ST Ltd Upside; MT Range, we have been bullish since 29 APR 2009 (1.3238).

Key levels Comment

1.4750 *** Horizontal resistance
1.4350 *** Horizontal resistance
1.3740 ** Horizontal resistance
1.3354 Last
1.2750 ** Pivot point
1.2400 *** Horizontal support
1.1950 ** Horizontal support
 

 

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2009/05/05

USDJPY's on the up

 
 
 
The top pattern (1) is a USDJPY continuation channel in the 60 minute chart showing a steady upwards trend over the past week. The question is, how long will the upwards trend last? Well, if this bullish pattern completes, the price will be moving from its present position below 99.08 to above the resistance line (A) in the direction of 101.08. The possibility of this upwards movement is supported by the bottom pattern (2), an upwards channel taken from the USDJPY daily chart. The second channel also indicates a probable movement above its resistance level (B), towards 103.30.
 
 


 

Disclaimer: Autochartist, MDIO Software, agents and resellers of Autochartist services do not guarantee the completeness, accuracy or timeliness of the information supplied. Users of this service should take independent decisions regarding any securities or financial instruments mentioned herein. Trading involves considerable risk: therefore, before trading you need carefully reflect on your risk appetite, investment objectives and level of experience. Do not invest money you cannot afford to lose. Past performance of strategies is not indicative of future performance.

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2009/05/05

Date: 2009/05/05
Time: 16:50 (GMT +2)
Ticker: EUR
Last: 1.3345
Pivot: 1.343
1st sup. 1.3325
2nd sup. 1.3275
3rd sup. 1.3225
1st res. 1.343
2nd res. 1.349
3rd res. 1.357
Title: EUR/USD intraday: under pressure.
Summary: Update on supports and resistances.
Story: Pivot: 1.343

Our preference: Short positions below 1.343 with targets @ 1.3325 & 1.3275 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 1.343 look for further upside with 1.349 & 1.357 as targets.

Comments: the pair has struck against its resistance and is shaping a double top (not yet fully confirmed), the RSI is badly directed.
 

 

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2009/05/05

Date: 2009/05/05
Time: 11:32 (GMT +2)
Ticker: EUR
Last: 1.339
Pivot: 1.3325
1st sup. 1.3325
2nd sup. 1.3275
3rd sup. 1.3225
1st res. 1.343
2nd res. 1.349
3rd res. 1.357
Title: EUR/USD intraday: rebound.
Summary: Update on supports and resistances.
Story: Pivot: 1.3325

Our preference: Long positions above 1.3325 with targets @ 1.343 & 1.349 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 1.3325 look for further downside with 1.3275 & 1.3225 as targets.

Comments: the pair is rebounding on its support and should post a further up move as the RSI is well directed.
 

 

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2009/05/04

Date: 2009/05/04
Time: 14:11 (GMT +2)
Ticker: EUR
Last: 1.3218
Pivot: 1.275
1st sup. 1.275
2nd sup. 1.24
3rd sup. 1.2
1st res. 1.3485
2nd res. 1.374
3rd res. 1.413
Title: EUR/USD ST: continuation of the rebound
Summary: As long as 1.275 is not broken down, we favour an upmove with 1.3485 and then 1.374 as next targets.
Story: Our pivot point stands at 1.275.

Our preference: As long as 1.275 is not broken down, we favour an upmove with 1.3485 and then 1.374 as next targets.

Alternative scenario: Only the downside breakout of 1.275 will invalidate our bullish scenario. In this case, a decline should shape towards 1.24 at first, and then 1.2.

Comment: The immediate trend remains up but the momentum is weak.

Trend: ST limited rise; MT range.

Supports and resistances:
1.413 **
1.374 **
1.3485 **
1.3218 last
1.275 **
1.24 **
1.2 **
 

 

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2009/05/01

Date: 2009/05/01
Time: 14:11 (GMT +2)
Ticker: EUR
Last: 1.3281
Pivot: 1.275
1st sup. 1.275
2nd sup. 1.24
3rd sup. 1.2
1st res. 1.3485
2nd res. 1.374
3rd res. 1.413
Title: EUR/USD ST: continuation of the rebound
Summary: As long as 1.275 is not broken down, we favour an upmove with 1.3485 and then 1.374 as next targets.
Story: Our pivot point stands at 1.275.

Our preference: As long as 1.275 is not broken down, we favour an upmove with 1.3485 and then 1.374 as next targets.

Alternative scenario: Only the downside breakout of 1.275 will invalidate our bullish scenario. In this case, a decline should shape towards 1.24 at first, and then 1.2.

Comment: The daily indicators are turning up and are calling for a re-test of the 1.374 area.

Trend: ST limited rise; MT range.

Supports and resistances:
1.413 **
1.374 **
1.3485 **
1.3281 last
1.275 **
1.24 **
1.2 **
 

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الاربعاء 29 \ 4 \ 2009

Upcoming USDCHF bearish movement

 
 

A reversal head and shoulders pattern (1) has appeared on the USDCHF 60 minute chart. This indicates the possibility that a large downwards price movement is about to take place. (1) was formed first by a left shoulder with its high above 1.160 (A), then the creation of the head with its high just below 1.1750 (B), followed by the right shoulder with a high around 1.160 (C). When (1) completes by breaking through the support line (D) we can expect to see a drop in price equaling the distance between (B) and (D), 400 pips downwards from (D). The second possibility is that of the price returning to the resistance line (E). Pattern (2), a continuation triangle also on the 60 minute chart, shares the same support line (D) as that of the head and shoulders. This bearish triangle confirms the probability of the price moving below (D).


 

Disclaimer: Autochartist, MDIO Software, agents and resellers of Autochartist services do not guarantee the completeness, accuracy or timeliness of the information supplied. Users of this service should take independent decisions regarding any securities or financial instruments mentioned herein. Trading involves considerable risk: therefore, before trading you need carefully reflect on your risk appetite, investment objectives and level of experience. Do not invest money you cannot afford to lose. Past performance of strategies is not indicative of future performance.

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2009 \ 4 \ 21  الثلاثاء

USDJPY Rising Wedge

 A rising wedge has been forming in the USDJPY daily chart since the end of January. This emerging pattern consists of 63 candles and has high quality readings. The wedge has a strong upwards slant, with the support line (A) moving towards 97.610 and the resistance line (B) moving in the direction of 101.610.  The price is currently approaching the support line A.  When this bearish pattern completes and the price breaks through A, watch for a movement towards 94.610 (C). If the price bounces back away from the support line, we can expect it to remain in the range below resistance line B for the next 10 days.
 

Disclaimer: Autochartist, MDIO Software, agents and resellers of Autochartist services do not guarantee the completeness, accuracy or timeliness of the information supplied. Users of this service should take independent decisions regarding any securities or financial instruments mentioned herein. Trading involves considerable risk: therefore, before trading you need carefully reflect on your risk appetite, investment objectives and level of experience. Do not invest money you cannot afford to lose. Past performance of strategies is not indicative of future performance.